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UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds, predictions: MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks

Kyle Marley has hit 24 of the last 33 UFC main events and just locked in his UFC 256 predictions

Top-ranked flyweight contender Brandon Moreno says he will pull "the upset of the year" against champion Deiveson Figueiredo in the main event of UFC 256 in Las Vegas on Saturday. The nonplussed titleholder says he expects to dispatch Moreno easily in what is becoming a streak of dominance against the division's top contenders. Their title fight anchors the UFC 256 fight card from the Apex facility in Las Vegas, with the main card slated for 10 p.m. ET.

Figueiredo has stopped his last four opponents inside of two rounds, but the surging Moreno earned his title shot on the strength of his own four-bout unbeaten streak. Figueiredo is a -320 favorite (risk $320 to win $100), while Moreno is a +260 underdog in the latest Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds from William Hill Sportsbook. In the co-main event, third-ranked lightweight Tony Ferguson (-165) faces No. 7-ranked Charles Oliveira (+145). Before making UFC 256 picks of your own, make sure you check out the latest MMA predictions from SportsLine analyst Kyle Marley. 

Marley won the first-ever "ToutMaster" UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event. 

Over the past 22 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up more than $22,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on a massive run in 2020 as he has hit on 24 of his last UFC 33 main-event selections, a stretch that includes a streak of five straight underdogs. 

At UFC Fight Night last weekend, Marley's winners included advising SportsLine members to back Jamahal Hill (-170) against Ovince Saint Preux (+150) in a clash of light heavyweight contenders in the co-main event. Marley reasoned that Hill's explosive speed and power would lead to a knockout victory, and was proven correct when the No. 15-ranked Hill unleashed a flurry that led to a first-round stoppage. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up.

Now, UFC 256 Vettori fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available here. 

Figueiredo vs. Moreno preview

Marley knows the main event is one of the biggest in the history of the flyweight division. With another impressive victory, Figueiredo (20-1) will cement his rapid transformation from relative unknown to one of the most dominant active champions in the UFC. Conversely, Moreno (18-5-1) could top off his own blistering rise up the UFC rankings by becoming a champion in his first title bout.

The sinister Figueiredo has done an about-face in the eyes of many MMA observers who soured on him when he missed weight for an interim title fight against former top-ranked contender Joseph Benavidez in February. Figueiredo earned a second-round stoppage, but the victory came with muted credibility because of the weight issue along with an accidental headbutt that appeared to rock Benavidez before he was stopped.

However, an immediate rematch was ordered, and this time Figueiredo made weight and stopped Benavidez in the first round of their July matchup to give him the undisputed title. The well-rounded Brazilian then made fast work of fourth-ranked Alex Perez three weeks ago with another first-round stoppage.

Moreno has been on a roll of his own following a 2-2 start to his tenure under the UFC brand. The 27-year-old Mexican fighter brings a five-fight unbeaten streak to the Octagon and will be looking for his third victory in 2020. You can only see Marley's coveted Moreno vs. Figueiredo picks here.

Top UFC 256 predictions

We'll share one of Marley's UFC 256 selections here: He is supporting Cub Swanson (+125) to get his hand raised against Daniel Pineda (-145) in a clash of featherweight veterans.

Swanson (26-11) is a former perennial contender who has squared off against the division's biggest names over the past decade while picking up six Fight of the Night bonuses along the way. The 37-year-old Californian perhaps salvaged his spot on the UFC roster with a victory over Kron Gracie last October to snap a four-fight losing streak. 

Pineda (27-13) is now in his second stint with the UFC. He was released following a 1-4 mark with the promotion earlier this decade but earned his way back with strong runs in other promotions, including a 3-0 mark in Fury FC. The 35-year-old Texan returned with an upset victory over Herbert Burns in August. 

"I was impressed by both fighters' last performances, and this should be a fun fight," Marley told SportsLine. "I will take Swanson to squeak out a close decision."

How to make UFC 256 picks

Marley also has strong picks for Figueiredo vs. Moreno and every other bout on the UFC 256 card. He's also backing one fighter "who can beat anyone in the world" to score a monster upset. Those selections are only available here.

Who wins Figueiredo vs. Moreno? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 256, all from the incomparable expert who's up more than $22,000 on MMA in the past 22 months, and find out.

UFC 256 odds, fight card

Deiveson Figueiredo (-320) vs. Brandon Moreno (+260) Tony Ferguson (-165) vs. Charles Oliveira (+145) Rafael Fiziev (-150) vs. Renato Moicano (+130) Kevin Holland (-120) vs. Ronaldo Souza (+110) Ciryl Gane (-440) vs. Junior Dos Santos (+360) Daniel Pineda (-145) vs. Cub Swanson (+125) Mackenzie Dern (-180) vs. Virna Jandiroba (+160) Billy Quarantillo (-140) vs. Gavin Tucker (+120) Sergey Spivak (-230) vs Jared Vanderaa (+195) Chase Hooper (-420) vs. Peter Barrett (+340) 

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